Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Adrian Beltre's side-to-side range

Adrian Beltre did not win a Fielding Bible award for 2009, finishing behind Washington's Ryan Zimmerman in voting by a panel of experts. He did, however, win two Fielding Bible awards in three years, winning in a landslide in 2008 and in a tight race with Scott Rolen in 2006.

He consistently has been one of the best third basemen in baseball for most of his career -- as selected by a group of experts that includes Peter Gammons and statistical pioneer Bill James.

If you go a little deeper into John Dewan's plus-minus scale, the primary metric used by the Fielding Bible, it reveals that Beltre's side-to-side range is the best in the game. For pitchers like Jon Lester who were burned so often last season by ground balls sneaking through the infield, Beltre's side-to-side range will be a tremendous boost next season.

Consider, first, the player Beltre will be replacing:

Mike Lowell, minus-23 in 2009
To his right: minus-3
To his left: minus-17

Even in his prime, though, Lowell wasn't the defensive player Beltre is. Consider Lowell during a 2007 season in which he was perfectly healthy from start to finish:
To his right: plus-6
To his left: minus-6

Even when he was healthy, Lowell was making fewer plays to his left -- to the shortstop side of third base -- than the average third baseman, and he wasn't making up for it with any kind of elite defense to his right.

Compare that to the five best defensive third baseman -- as ranked by Dewan's scale -- in baseball last season:

Chone Figgins, plus-40
To his right: plus-1
To his left: plus-23

Ryan Zimmerman, plus-28
To his right: minus-3
To his left: plus-25

Adrian Beltre, plus-27
To his right: plus-9
To his left: plus-11

Scott Rolen, plus-22
To his right: plus-7
To his left: plus-8

Evan Longoria, plus-21
To his right: plus-3
To his left: plus-10

Notice anything?

No third baseman on that list is as balanced as Beltre. Figgins, Longoria and Zimmerman all were better to their left last season than Beltre -- but no one in that group was as good going to their right as Beltre was. No third baseman in baseball, in fact, is better down the line than Beltre.

Theo Epstein made a point of upgrading his infield defense -- and its side-to-side range in particular. Alex Gonzalez, for example, still had the same sure hands he'd always had, but injuries had diminished his range going to his left or to his right.

No third baseman in baseball has better side-to-side range than Beltre.

1 comment:

Gweg said...

thanks for your stats and your blog Brian you do a good job.